WTC News: Match Heads for a Draw, Bet India Head for Clean Sweep of Tips

The WTC final seems like it’s heading for a draw after the whole of day four was washed out over in Southampton.

No play at all was possible on Monday, meaning that there are just two days left in the game (including the special sixth reserve day) and with New Zealand still batting the first time round, we’re running out of time.

But none of that means that we’re not enjoying the Test to the fullest. Especially when we’ve already banked an 8.0 winner!

English weather ruins the cricket

On a day where not a single delivery was bowled, the big winner was the English weather.  It means that even with the extra day that was specifically put aside for the eventuality of rain, we’re unlikely to be able to find a winner here in Southampton.

After all, the Black Caps still have eight wickets in hand in the first innings with only Tom Latham (30) and Devon Conway (54) dismissed and Kane Williamson and Ross Taylor currently at the crease when play eventually resumes.

The weather is admittedly set to be a fair bit better on Tuesday so we should have some play.  But if New Zealand bat out the whole day, which they could well do, the sixth and final day will be almost an irrelevance with no result possible in that scenario.

A reminder that if the match does end in a draw, the WTC title would be shared with both teams being declared joint winners.

Bet India readers delighted with probable draw

So the current situation may not be great news for the pure cricket lover but it’s certainly not a bad one for Bet India readers.  Before the Test started, we advised backing the draw at 2.9, the slight outsider of the three outcomes.

You can (re)read the full preview but the rationale was that they were well-matched, had played out a lot of draws in the past and neither team would see it as a bad result.

Rahane already a 7.0 winner for us

But we did even better when it came to predicting that India vice-captain Ajinkya Rahane would top score for India, a 7.0 chance. Here’s what we said about him:

“And this is just the sort of match that could really bring out the best in him. The ball will surely move on the first couple of days and test batsmen’s resilience, patience and technique.

That could easily create a scenario where the likes of Boult and Henry are swinging the ball and India’s Top 4 all get out cheaply.

That in turn could create a scenario where Rahane needs to perform a rescue act and a score of 50 or 60 could be enough to win this betting heat. At the current odds, it’s definitely worth a try.”

This was our Nostradamus moment!  

The ball did move the first couple of days, Indias’ Top 4 did mostly get out cheaply, Rahane did perform a rescue act of sorts and he almost got 50! He got 49.

Earlier, we also predicted that New Zealand would win the toss (odds of 1.9) based on Virat Kohli’s notoriously poor record at winning tosses.

For our final bet, we had Devon Conway to top score for the Black Caps at 4.33.

He’s currently the top scorer with 54 but surely a Williamson, Taylor or Henry Nicholls can get past that though we haven’t given up hope! It would complete a clean sweep of 4/4 if Conway were to win, with the match also ending in a draw.

The third most important part of the news

In truth, a draw and the splitting of the WTC would be a fitting result. These have been the two best Test sides in the world for the last two years or so and are very well-matched, even though sharing the trophy seems a somewhat unsatisfactory outcome given no one actually can claim to be the inaugural winner.

Later on in the year, both teams will be at the T20 World Cup, although they’re in different groups.

India are of course the hosts of the tournament, while we here at Bet India believe New Zealand have a real chance of going all the way this time, in what would be their first World Cup win in limited-overs cricket.

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